In Moscow's Shadows In Moscow's Shadows 191: How is Russian Foreign Policy Made?
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Mar 16, 2025 The podcast dives into the intricate web of Russian foreign policy, highlighting the autocratic decision-making shaped by elite opinions and military dynamics in Ukraine. It examines the isolation of Putin's leadership and media's influence within a tightly controlled environment. The discussion critiques European military support for Ukraine, revealing the tensions between peacekeeping and realpolitik. With a focus on the role of diplomats and the chaotic nature of policy-making, it uncovers how personal ambitions intertwine with institutional influences.
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Putin's Ceasefire Dilemma
- Putin hesitates over the proposed 30-day ceasefire in Ukraine.
- This indecision reflects a classic Putin trait, his aversion to tough choices.
Kursk and the Ceasefire
- Putin went to Kursk, signaling confidence in imminent victory there.
- A ceasefire now risks leaving Russian territory in Ukrainian hands.
Media as a Sounding Board
- Putin uses media narratives to gauge public and elite opinion.
- This "workshopping" helps him make decisions, given his increasing isolation.