Oana Lungescu, former NATO spokesperson, and Max Griera, POLITICO reporter, discuss Romania's surprising presidential election where pro-Russia candidate Călin Georgescu shook the political landscape. They explore the influence of TikTok on his nationalist campaign and the potential ramifications for NATO and European unity. Lungescu highlights concerns about the rise of far-right sentiments, while Griera reveals the intricate backroom politics behind the new European Commission, shedding light on shifting power dynamics in Brussels.
Călin Georgescu's TikTok-driven campaign reflects growing voter discontent with traditional parties and the rise of populism in Romania.
His unexpected election success poses significant implications for NATO's unity and Romania's foreign policy towards Ukraine amid rising pro-Russian sentiments.
Deep dives
Romania's Political Landscape Shift
The recent elections in Romania have marked a significant shift in the political landscape, with the surprising rise of Kalin Georgescu, an ultra-nationalist candidate who admires Putin. His unexpected success, gaining 23% of the vote, reflects widespread discontent with the traditional political parties, which have formed a coalition since 2021. This dissatisfaction has sparked a protest vote, signaling a potential upheaval against established politics. The runoff will see Georgescu face off against a pro-EU liberal candidate, highlighting the stark divide in voter preferences.
TikTok's Role in Modern Politics
Georgescu's campaign utilized TikTok to engage younger voters, exploiting the platform's popularity among the Romanian populace, where half are active users. His content focused on nationalistic themes, tapping into grievances against Ukraine and directing blame for economic woes toward external factors. The success of his social media strategy raises questions about the influence of digital platforms in modern electoral politics and the potential for disinformation. Investigations are underway to determine the legitimacy of the engagement that propelled his candidacy.
Romania’s position as a vital NATO ally is under scrutiny with Georgescu's potential presidency, which could challenge the country's support for Ukraine and its commitments to NATO. His administration could reshape Romania's foreign policy, especially given its geographical proximity to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Notably, Romania has been a host for Ukrainian refugees and military training, making its political direction crucial for regional security. A shift towards pro-Russian sentiments could undermine unity within NATO and threaten regional stability.
Voter Discontent and Populism in Romania
Rising living costs and pervasive corruption scandals have fueled voter discontent in Romania, leading to the emergence of populist candidates like Georgescu. The increase in prices has outpaced the EU average, deepening frustrations among the population who feel ignored by traditional politicians. His campaign has resonated with voters by combining nationalistic rhetoric with religious appeals, reflecting a growing trend where populist figures exploit economic hardships. The outcome of these elections may signal a broader shift toward populism in Central and Eastern Europe, mirroring trends seen elsewhere.
Romania’s presidential election delivered a TikTok-fueled political shock, with pro-Russia, far-right candidate Călin Georgescu winning the first round. His unexpected rise has stunned the establishment and raised serious questions about NATO, Ukraine, and Europe’s future.
EU Confidential host Sarah Wheaton speaks with former NATO spokesperson and Romanian native Oana Lungescu to unpack what Georgescu’s victory means for European security, and how Trump’s return to the White House could fuel the far-right and Euroskeptic wave spreading across the continent.
Later, POLITICO’s Max Griera breaks down the final vote on Ursula von der Leyen’s new European Commission and the backroom deals that made it happen, revealing shifting power dynamics in Brussels.