The Macro Minute with Darius Dale

Is the AI trade over?

9 snips
Dec 17, 2025
The conversation dives into the enduring AI trade, emphasizing the impact of Paradigm C and D on investment landscapes. OpenAI seeks substantial funding from Amazon amidst a semiconductor rivalry. A major IPO from Medline showcases robust capital markets, while geopolitical tensions drive up oil and precious metals prices. Darius highlights the staggering 60% devaluation of the U.S. dollar against gold, urging a reevaluation of investment perspectives. The discussion also touches on debt management strategies and navigating uncertain economic times.
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INSIGHT

AI Momentum Extends Into New Paradigms

  • The AI trade is unlikely to be over because Paradigm C continues and Paradigm D is beginning to emerge.
  • OpenAI seeking $10B from Amazon and buoyant capital markets extend AI financing and investor risk appetite.
ADVICE

Be Patient And Diversify Now

  • Be patient and diversify if you recently joined the Paradigm C bull market.
  • Hard money has been made, and returns will get harder from here.
INSIGHT

Amazon-OpenAI Talks Signal Hardware Rivalry

  • Amazon talks to fund OpenAI and adopt Amazon semiconductors would counter NVIDIA's AI hardware dominance.
  • Watch Amazon's stock as a signal for market appetite for incremental AI financing schemes.
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