Talking Geopolitics

George Friedman on Israel’s Attack on Hamas in Qatar, a US Ally

Sep 10, 2025
George Friedman, Founder and Chairman of Geopolitical Futures, delves into Israel's unprecedented military action against Hamas leaders in Qatar. He explores Prime Minister Netanyahu's motivations behind this bold move and its significance for U.S.-Israeli relations. Friedman discusses the complexities of U.S. involvement, the impact on regional dynamics, and Israel's intelligence failures post-October 7th. He highlights how this offensive could reshape Hamas and further complicate diplomacy in the Middle East.
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INSIGHT

Security Over Diplomacy

  • Israel now prioritizes eliminating threats over preserving international opinion or U.S. comfort.
  • George Friedman argues Israel's strategy centers on making national security the overriding imperative.
INSIGHT

Likely Short Notice To The U.S.

  • Friedman thinks Israel likely informed the U.S. only as the strike was underway rather than seeking permission.
  • He says Washington would likely have opposed an attack on a major U.S. partner hosting CENTCOM.
INSIGHT

Buffer Zones And Political Cost

  • Netanyahu pursues territorial depth through buffer zones to prevent future attacks.
  • Friedman warns this strategy risks alienating allies and deeply dividing Israeli society.
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