Is government deficit a myth? — with Stephanie Kelton
Jan 8, 2025
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Stephanie Kelton, a professor of economics and public policy known for her work on Modern Monetary Theory, breaks down misconceptions around government deficits and spending. She argues that national budgets shouldn't be likened to household finances, emphasizing the importance of inflation management over traditional deficit fears. Kelton discusses the potential of policies like a federal job guarantee and how flexible financing can aid climate action. She also examines the implications of fiscal policies in the politically charged landscape ahead.
The myth that government deficits are inherently irresponsible distracts from the real concerns of inflation and productive capacity.
Modern Monetary Theory redefines economic management by prioritizing inflation control over the traditional emphasis on balancing budgets.
Implementing a federal job guarantee could provide full employment and effectively address issues of poverty and economic stability within communities.
Deep dives
The Myth of the Balanced Budget
The notion that a balanced national budget is inherently good while a deficit is bad is a pervasive myth in public discourse. This belief is often rooted in the way households manage their finances, leading many to incorrectly equate government spending and budgeting with personal finance. In reality, the federal government functions differently by having the unique ability to issue its own currency, which means it does not face the same constraints as individuals or businesses. The greater risk for governments is not insolvency but inflation, which can arise from excessive spending without corresponding productive capacity.
Political Convenience of Deficit Narratives
Politicians across the spectrum often leverage the narrative that deficits signify fiscal irresponsibility for political gain. This narrative allows them to critique opponents by claiming they have contributed to unsustainable debt levels. Consequently, when attempting to fund vital public services, like education or healthcare, the questions of 'how will we pay for it?' arise while substantial military or corporate spending is approved with little scrutiny. This selective concern about deficits highlights a deeper issue of political priorities, where necessary social investments are undermined by the prevailing discourse around fiscal responsibility.
Inflation as the True Economic Limit
Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) reframes traditional economic viewpoints by positing that inflation, rather than government deficits, should be the primary concern in economic management. By focusing on inflation risk, MMT challenges the idea that surplus budgets are always desirable. It suggests that large government spending can occur without adverse effects on inflation as long as sufficient productive capacity exists to meet the increased demand. Thus, the emphasis shifts from simply balancing budgets to ensuring that government investments align with actual resource availability while avoiding inflationary outcomes.
The Federal Job Guarantee Concept
A federal job guarantee is proposed as a means to achieve full employment while simultaneously managing inflation effectively. This program would offer jobs to anyone willing to work but unable to find employment elsewhere, particularly in roles that benefit communities and the environment. By formalizing employment in this way, it addresses not only economic stability but also social issues related to unemployment and poverty. The implementation of such a program would signal a shift towards utilizing government resources more effectively to serve the public good, deviating from the traditional reliance on maintaining unemployment as a tool against inflation.
Reframing Financial Capacities for Climate Action
The conversation surrounding climate change funding often revolves around the perceived inability to finance large-scale initiatives due to budget constraints. However, MMT illustrates that governments can and should commit substantial resources to combat climate change without fearing the implications of increasing deficits. Recent legislation in the U.S. aimed at climate change exemplifies this approach, proposing significant investments to bolster capacity without capping expenditure. This highlights a broader understanding that the limits of what governments can achieve depend not on their ability to issue currency, but rather on practical resource constraints and the political will to invest in essential areas such as sustainability.
When governments say they can't afford to fix climate change or lift kids out of poverty are they speaking the truth? American economist Stephanie Kelton challenges economic orthodoxy in her book The Deficit Myth: Modern Monetary Theory and the Birth of the People's Economy. She joins Natasha Mitchell in conversation at this 2024 National Sustainability Festival event.
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