The podcast dives into the escalating trade tensions between Canada and the U.S. as President Trump implements tariffs on Canadian goods. It discusses Canada’s strong retaliatory measures and a national call to support local businesses. Listeners learn about the economic ramifications, including projections of recession and rising unemployment caused by the tariffs. Provincial leaders share their responses, emphasizing the need to diversify trade relationships amidst growing consumer anxiety over prices and availability.
The imposition of tariffs by Trump marks a significant shift from decades of free trade, alarming many economists and politicians in Canada.
In response, Canada plans equivalent tariffs on American goods, potentially leading to a severe economic downturn and rising unemployment rates.
Deep dives
Economic Emergency Declaration
President Trump's recent declaration of an economic emergency due to concerns over illegal immigration and the flow of drugs from Canada has led to the imposition of significant tariffs on Canadian goods. Specifically, a 25% surcharge has been levied on most imported items, while oil and gas products face a 10% tariff. This drastic action marks a departure from decades of established free trade between Canada and the U.S., with Trump utilizing the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to enforce these tariffs. Critics argue that the economic emergency rationale is unfounded, particularly given the larger volumes of drugs and migrants entering from Mexico compared to Canada.
Canada's Countermeasures
In response to the tariffs, Prime Minister Trudeau announced that Canada will impose equivalent 25% tariffs on $155 billion worth of American goods. This includes immediate tariffs on $30 billion starting February 4, with a further $125 billion subject to tariffs in three weeks. The scope of Canada's retaliatory measures covers a vast array of consumer products, from food and beverages to household goods and materials. Trudeau has also encouraged Canadians to consider not purchasing American products and to support domestic businesses as a way to stand against the U.S. measures.
Economic Outlook and Political Reactions
The anticipated economic fallout from the tariffs is concerning, with analyses predicting a potential recession in Canada if the tariffs endure. The Bank of Montreal estimates that a 25% tariff could lead to a 2% contraction in the economy, with unemployment rates possibly hitting 8% and the Canadian dollar weakening significantly. Politically, opposition leaders are urging strong responses, with some suggesting limiting exports to the U.S. or implementing support programs for Canadians affected by rising product prices due to the tariffs. The situation remains fluid, with ongoing tensions and speculation on how long these trade barriers may remain in place.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said proposed tariffs on Canadian goods will be paused for 30 days after he spoke with President Donald Trump on Monday afternoon.
In a social media post, Trudeau said he outline Canada’s $1.3 billion border plan and also signed a new intelligence directive on organized crime and fentanyl.
The Big Story will be covering the latest developments in the weeks to come.
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President Donald Trump has followed through on his threats.
Tariffs against Canadian goods imported to the US will begin at 12:01pm on February 4th.
Host David Smith breaks down what we know – and still don’t know – about this trade war with America.
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