In the Money with Amber Kanwar Cole Smead: The Market is Dead Wrong on Canadian Energy
Cole Smead is back—and doubling down. The outspoken U.S. fund manager returns to In the Money with Amber Kanwar to explain why he's still bullish on Canadian energy stocks despite investor apathy, volatile oil prices, and political headwinds.
He breaks down the major disconnect between market perception and industry fundamentals, explains why Canadian oil stocks are "a buy across the board," and unveils his theory of consolidation: “Who’s your daddy?” From Strathcona’s move on MEG to a wild forecast that Cenovus could end up with Suncor, Cole doesn’t hold back.
Smead tackles listener questions on some of the most talked-about names in the oil patch. He gives his take on Whitecap (WCP.TO), discusses whether Baytex (BTE.TO) or Athabasca (ATH.TO) are M&A targets, and why Imperial Oil (IMO.TO) has worked—despite his skepticism about its dividend strategy. He also breaks down CNQ (CNQ.TO)’s place in the market as a go-to for generalist investors.
He brings back two of his highest-conviction ideas from March—Strathcona Resources and Cenovus Energy (CVE.TO)—and adds a new one: Glencore (GLEN.L). He’s confident the MEG deal will close and sees Strathcona as a future consolidator of the Canadian oil patch. While Cenovus has underperformed, he believes it's undervalued and could be in play soon. And for broader commodity exposure, he likes Glencore—a global play on commodities, specifically coal, that he sees as well-positioned to outperform stocks over the next decade.
Timestamps
00:00 Show intro
02:05 Cole says people don’t understand what’s happening in the Canadian energy market
04:30 Why Cole calls this the ‘low T era’
08:00 Cole’s theory of consolidation: Who’s Your Daddy?
10:00 Does Cole spend much time thinking about where oil prices should be relative to where they are?
16:00 Cole on what Carney means for the oil patch
17:50 Cole’s take on Strathcona’s bid for MEG Energy
22:25 Why Cole thinks commodities will beat stocks over the next 10 years
25:40 ITM Mailbag: Cole’s thoughts on Whitecap (WCP.TO)
29:35 Is Baytex (BTE.TO) the next acquisition target?
31:55 Is Athabasca Oil (ATH.TO) the next takeover target?
34:45 Will CNQ ever get a bid?
39:20 Why Cole likes Imperial Oil (IMO.TO)
43:10 Are natural gas stocks a buy?
44:00 Cole’s Pro Picks
1:00:20 Goodbye & coming up
Sponsors
Ready to take your trading to the next level? For those interested in the dynamic world of options, BMO InvestorLine provides a robust self-directed platform. Start investing today with BMO InvestorLine.
https://wealth.bmo.com/wealth/onboard/onlineinvesting/#/set-expectation?lang=en&ecid=pr-2886232INV1-JNBMO20
For over 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca today to discover how you can live a life well planned.
Pro Picks is brought to you by ATB Financial. Visit https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more information
Links
https://inthemoneypod.com/
https://instagram.com/inthemoneypod
https://facebook.com/profile.php?id=61569721774740
https://twitter.com/inthemoneypod
https://tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod
DISCLAIMERS
The information provided in this podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or professional advice.The views expressed by the host and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of any organization or company. The host and guests may maintain positions in any securities discussed on the podcast. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions.
BMO DISCLAIMER
Terms and conditions apply. BMO InvestorLine is a wholly owned subsidiary of Bank of Montreal. Member – Canadian Investor Protection Fund and Member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization.
The opinions and views expressed in this presentation are those of the presenter and not necessarily BMO InvestorLine Inc. This presentation is prepared as a general source of information and is not intended to provide legal, investment, accounting or tax advice, and should not be relied upon in that regard. If legal or investment advice or other professional assistance is needed, the services of a competent professional should be obtained. Any information contained in this presentation does not constitute and shall not be deemed to constitute advice, an offer to sell/purchase or as an invitation or solicitation to do so for any entity. The content of this presentation is based on sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. BMO InvestorLine Inc. and its affiliates, sponsors and employees do not accept responsibility for the content and makes no representation as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the content and hereby disclaims any liability with regards to the same.
In the Money delivers expert stock picks, market analysis, and timely investing insights. Hosted by business journalist Amber Kanwar, each episode features interviews with top portfolio managers and financial experts. Covering everything from ETFs and Canadian stocks to global investing trends, dividend strategies, and risk management, this show is made for DIY investors, stock market enthusiasts, and anyone looking to sharpen their financial strategy.
Contact: questions@inthemoneypod.com
#IntheMoney #Investing #StockMarket #CanadianInvesting #FinancialNews