The AI Daily Brief (Formerly The AI Breakdown): Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis Is AI Slowing Down?
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Nov 13, 2024 Is AI development facing challenges? The discussion dives into OpenAI's Orion model and its underwhelming performance compared to expectations. Researchers are now shifting their focus to improve real-time reasoning rather than sticking with traditional pre-training methods. Exciting advancements include Google's AlphaFold3, which could revolutionize biological research, while companies like Salesforce are ramping up efforts in AI recruitment and development.
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Orion's Less Impressive Gains
- OpenAI's Orion model, though better than predecessors, shows less improvement than GPT-3 to GPT-4.
- Some worry it may not consistently outperform in coding, a key use case.
Shifting Focus to Post-Training
- The AI industry shifts focus from pre-training scaling to improving models post-training.
- OpenAI explores new strategies like using synthetic data and enhancing reasoning processes.
Industry-Wide Scaling Challenges
- Multiple sources suggest leading AI models, not just OpenAI's, face diminishing returns from scaling.
- Ilya Sutskever highlights the need for discovering 'the next thing' beyond scaling.