The Jacob Shapiro Podcast The Indus Waters Are Getting Hot
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May 7, 2025 Kamran Bokhari, an analyst with expertise in South Asian geopolitics, joins for an insightful discussion on the escalating tensions between India and Pakistan, particularly following a recent Kashmir attack. They explore the complexities of military strategies, the suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty, and the implications for regional stability. The conversation expands to the Middle East, covering Iran's negotiations and the U.S.'s role in a potential regional reset, hinting at a significant shift in geopolitical dynamics.
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US-India Strategic Alliance Against China
- The US fully supports India as part of its strategy to counter China and reduce dependency on Chinese manufacturing.
- India seeks to leverage this moment to assert itself economically and geopolitically on the global stage.
Pakistan's Attack Motive Explained
- The increase in attacks linked to Kashmir stems from Pakistan's perceived need to respond to internal insurgencies it claims are backed by India.
- These dynamics have reversed previous ceasefires, escalating regional tensions significantly.
India’s Delicate Escalation Challenge
- India faces a strategic dilemma in calibrating a military response that restores deterrence without escalating to uncontrollable conflict.
- Both Indian and Pakistani analysts recognize the danger of an escalating cycle of retaliations.