

David Woo: Trump’s Trade War Playbook – How to Profit From It
Mar 7, 2025
David Woo, CEO of David Woo Unbound and former strategist at Bank of America, shares his insights on global economic shifts. He discusses the impact of U.S. trade policies on Europe, particularly following Germany's elections. Woo delves into tariffs and their effects on industries like automotive, and explores emerging market opportunities amid changing investor flows. He also analyzes technology disruptions in cloud and semiconductors, while emphasizing necessary fiscal discipline to manage inflation and bolster economic stability.
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German Election's Economic Impact
- The German election signals a major economic shift, with Germany suffering from US foreign policy impacts.
- Energy costs and trade conflicts have weakened German manufacturing and European competitiveness.
US Retail Inflows Drive Market Rotation
- Massive US retail inflows into US stocks triggered institutional sales of US equities.
- This caused a rotation into international markets, lifting European and other non-US stocks' performance.
Germany's Fiscal Constraints Remain
- Germany's constitutional debt brake limits fiscal expansion despite political talks of growth.
- The lack of a two-thirds majority after the election prevents overriding this fiscal constraint.