UNLOCKED: /418/ Neoliberal Order Breakdown System, German-Style ft. Gregor Baszak
Feb 20, 2025
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Gregor Baszak, an independent researcher focusing on German politics, explores the tension in German centrism amid pressures from both the left and right. He discusses the remilitarization of public life and the implications of Sahra Wagenknecht's 'left-conservative' politics. The podcast delves into Germany's energy dynamics linked to the Nord Stream 2 pipeline and its evolving stance in the Ukraine War. Baszak also examines how populist figures like Marine Le Pen are reshaping national politics across Europe.
The podcast highlights the growing political polarization in Germany, with parties like the AfD facing fluctuating support amid economic challenges.
Gregory Baszak discusses the remilitarization of German public life and the pressures from NATO to increase defense spending amidst geopolitical tensions.
Concerns over the Nord Stream pipeline investigation reflect Germany's struggle with energy independence, accountability, and the implications of environmental disaster.
Deep dives
Green Party's Investigative Push
The Green Party in Germany is calling for an official investigation into the Nord Stream pipeline, specifically questioning why it was built rather than who was responsible for its destruction. This inquiry reflects broader concerns about the political dealings that led to the construction, including attempts made by certain states to bypass U.S. sanctions during its development. Notably, they have avoided addressing the environmental implications of the explosion, which has been categorized as one of the largest environmental disasters in recent history. Such a shift in focus from the perpetrators to the rationale suggests an evasion of accountability for the government's past decisions regarding energy independence and geopolitical strategy.
Shifts in German Political Landscape
Recent discussion surrounding the dynamics of German politics highlights the changes in voter sentiment, particularly regarding the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party's rise. The AfD, once enjoying robust support, has seen fluctuating poll numbers, now standing at approximately 15%, notably lower than its previous highs. Meanwhile, traditional parties such as the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) seem to be regaining some trust among the electorate as people seek stability in the face of economic challenges. This cyclical pattern of political support suggests an ongoing struggle among parties to address the disparate needs and anxieties of the German population amid rising energy prices and economic uncertainty.
Cultural War and Changing Narratives
Germany is experiencing an increasing cultural polarization reflective of broader global trends, with deepening divisions over identity politics and national history. The German media landscape has shifted, adopting a more lecturing and moralizing tone when addressing contentious issues, including the rise of right-wing populism. This alteration in rhetoric has also been paired with attempts by political elites to relate civil rights issues to contemporary governance, demonstrating a significant departure from past norms. The public discourse now seems to pivot around narratives of equality versus perceived threats, intensifying a cultural war atmosphere that complicates the collective national psyche.
Economic Ramifications of the Ukraine War
The ongoing Ukraine conflict has severe implications for the German economy, particularly concerning energy supply and industrial productivity. German industries have faced rising costs associated with energy imports from the U.S., alongside challenges in their traditional export markets. The cratering of industrial output has led to significant political and economic discussions about the viability of existing policies and alliances with Ukraine and NATO. In this context, public sentiment is fracturing over Germany's future, as people grapple with the harsh realities of an economy under strain while federal leaders strive to navigate these treacherous waters.
A Shift in European Political Dynamics
The upcoming European parliamentary elections are set to gauge the political climate in Germany, especially how parties like the AfD will fare against traditional powerhouses amidst rising populist sentiments across the continent. Analysts argue that how the AfD performs in state elections, particularly in the former East Germany, will reveal broader trends about anti-establishment sentiments and voter mobilization. As political factions jockey for position in light of these elections, there is a growing concern about the integrity of democratic systems and the potential for more extreme parties to gain footholds. If the AfD secures significant representation, it could spark major shifts in both German and European politics, altering alliances and policy directions going forward.
Independent researcher and writer Gregor Baszak joins us to talk about German centrism being squeezed under pressure from both left and right — Sahra Wagenknecht and the AFD. Meanwhile the German economy is getting squeezed between the US and Russia, and NATO pressures Germany to up its defence spending.
Is German public life remilitarising?
What are the prospects for Sahra Wagenknecht’s new ‘left-conservative’ politics?
What was the original political vision behind the Nordstream 2 pipeline?
Why are Marine Le Pen and Giorgia Meloni trying to carve the AFD out of pan-European national-populist cooperation?
Where does Germany now stand in relation to the Ukraine War?