Author Morgan Housel discusses poor forecasting abilities throughout history. Ron Shaich shares Cava's journey to becoming a public company and insights on the restaurant industry. They explore market volatility, motivations for starting new business lines, and the evolution of the restaurant industry. They also discuss challenges of growth, Act 3, and going public, as well as their favorite menu items and business concepts.
The book 'Same As Ever' by Morgan Housel emphasizes the importance of learning from history and understanding that certain behaviors and responses to crises remain constant throughout time.
Distinguishing between short-term and long-term relevant information is crucial, as focusing on knowledge that will remain valuable in the future is key.
Deep dives
Morgan Housel's book explores the timeless lessons from history
Morgan Housel's latest book, Same As Ever, focuses on the enduring lessons from history, highlighting how much of history is just the same story repeating itself. Housel emphasizes the importance of learning from history and understanding that certain behaviors and responses to crises remain constant throughout time. By studying and understanding history, we can gain valuable insights into how to navigate present and future challenges.
The importance of distinguishing between information with a shelf life
Housel discusses the significance of distinguishing between information that has a short shelf life and information that has a long shelf life. He suggests that while some news and information may be relevant and important in the short term, it may not hold the same relevance or value in the long run. Housel encourages readers to focus on information and knowledge that will remain valuable and applicable in the future.
Understanding risk tolerance and volatility in investing
Housel delves into the topic of risk tolerance and volatility in investing. He highlights the distinction between claiming to have a high risk tolerance during periods of market stability and actually enduring and tolerating market downturns. Housel argues that experiencing and living through significant market declines is crucial in truly understanding one's risk tolerance and investing mindset. He also notes that the modern financial system has resulted in fewer opportunities for investors to experience and assess their reactions to such events.
The concept of reasonable optimism in investing
Housel introduces the concept of reasonable optimism, which he describes as knowing that the future will be better than the present, while acknowledging that the path to improvement may involve setbacks and challenges. He emphasizes that reasonable optimists understand the need to endure difficulties and crises in order to reap the rewards that come with progress and innovation. Housel contrasts reasonable optimism with complacency, highlighting the importance of maintaining a long-term perspective and recognizing the potential obstacles on the path to improvement.
(00:21) Best-selling author Morgan Housel talks through his book Same as Ever the timeless lessons from history that endure, no matter how the world changes.
(19:11) Restaurateur, investor, and chairman at Cava Ron Shaich talks about Cava’s path to becoming a public company, and why you might not want to bet against him in the restaurant industry.