TRIGGERnometry Ex CIA Agent: The Real War is Just Beginning - Andrew Bustamante
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Jun 27, 2025 
Andrew Bustamante, a former covert CIA Intelligence Officer, provides a riveting analysis of modern conflicts. He discusses the rising tensions between Iran and Israel, exploring the implications for U.S. involvement and military strategies. Bustamante critiques the efficacy of intelligence operations, questioning the narratives surrounding failures. He also offers insights into geopolitical shifts between the U.S. and China, and shares personal experiences from his upcoming memoir 'Shadow Cell', shedding light on the complexities of international relations.
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Unique Preemptive Strikes on Iran
- Israel and the US took unprecedented preemptive strikes against Iran despite usual no first strike policy.
- This reflects a shift in conflict dynamics where limiting Iran’s nuclear potential became prioritized over diplomacy.
Iran’s Nuclear Weapon Timeline
- Iran is months away from weaponizing uranium and developing missile delivery systems.
- Missile defense systems intercept 80%+ of threats, creating a probabilistic defense against nuclear missile attacks.
Trump’s Political Motive in Strike
- Trump pursued the bunker busters strike seeking a political victory amid mounting failures rather than a long-term military strategy.
- Limited war approaches don’t decisively solve threats and often bolster the adversary's resolve.
