The NPR Politics Podcast Many Trump Picks Did Well Running For Open Seats, But Struggled Against Incumbents
Jun 8, 2022
Former President Trump's endorsements are under scrutiny as his favored candidates face challenges against strong incumbents. Voter loyalty to traditional Republican figures shines through in Georgia's races. Insights from GOP supporters reveal a nuanced relationship with Trump's influence. The effectiveness of presidential endorsements varies based on context and voter independence. As local issues take center stage, Trump's divisive impact seems less effective. This raises questions about future Republican strategies leading into the 2024 elections.
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Trump Endorsement Effectiveness
- Trump's endorsements had mixed results in recent primaries.
- Some unknown, "Trumpy" candidates he backed succeeded in crowded fields, while others did not.
Voters on Trump Endorsements
- Don Gonyea interviewed Kathy Deal, a Republican voter, who said a Trump endorsement would "seal the deal" for her vote.
- Conversely, Bob Rapp, also a Trump supporter, said Trump's endorsement of Dr. Oz wouldn't sway his vote.
30% Rule
- Trump endorsements seem to garner about 30% of the vote in crowded primaries.
- This can be enough to win, as seen with Oz and Vance, but not always, like with Cawthorn.