The Globalist

Japan in the firing line as Trump nears decisions on tariffs

Jul 2, 2025
Fiona Wilson, Monocle’s Tokyo Bureau Chief, dives into Japan's delicate trade negotiations with the U.S., emphasizing how crucial tariffs on automotive goods and the symbolism of rice shape their relationship. Camilla Wozink discusses the pressing funding shortfalls impacting humanitarian aid, while Yossi Mecklenburg analyzes the political repercussions of America's new tax reforms and their effects on international relations. Lisa Poggialli highlights the intersection of AI and elections, and Ed Stocker reflects on the Iowa State Fair as a pivotal stage for political engagement.
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INSIGHT

Japan-US Tariff Negotiation Stalemate

  • Negotiations between Japan and the US over tariffs are stalled with Japan resisting agricultural compromises, especially rice.
  • The US threatens to escalate tariffs on Japanese auto imports, which are critical to Japan's economy and exports to the US have already dropped significantly.
INSIGHT

Rice Is Japan's Red Line

  • Rice is a symbolic and politically sensitive product in Japan and not an economic issue.
  • Japan cannot compromise on rice imports due to domestic political pressures and upcoming elections.
INSIGHT

Mixed Economic Impact and Auto Barriers

  • While exports and especially vehicle exports to the US are down, other sectors in Japan remain upbeat.
  • American automakers face barriers like vehicle size and non-tariff issues stopping them entering the Japanese market effectively.
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