8/1/22: Burn Pits Bill, Manchin-Schumer Deal, Saudi Golf League, Biden Polling, Dem Hypocrisy, Midterm Outlook, & More!
Aug 1, 2022
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Kyle Kondik, a political analyst at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics, joins to discuss the controversial burn pits legislation for veterans and the political dynamics surrounding it. The conversation dives into Biden's low approval ratings and the search for new Democratic candidates ahead of the 2024 election. Kondik also analyzes the impact of celebrity candidates like Dr. Oz on voter perceptions and the significance of the Kansas abortion vote for future political trends, highlighting the ongoing shifts in the U.S. electoral landscape.
75% of Democrats want someone other than Joe Biden as their party's nominee for the 2024 presidential election due to doubts about his electability and a desire for a new candidate.
Voters in the upcoming midterm elections are primarily motivated by concerns about the current state of the country, indicating overall discontentment with the political landscape and the importance of addressing voters' concerns.
The declining popularity of Joe Biden draws parallels with past presidents who faced similar challenges, highlighting the importance of addressing substantive concerns such as inflation and the state of the economy.
The declining popularity of Joe Biden is proving to be a liability for Democrats in the upcoming midterms, creating challenges in securing victories for the party and emphasizing the need to address the concerns of American voters.
Deep dives
Three-quarters of Democrats prefer someone other than Biden for 2024
A recent CNN poll reveals that 75% of Democrats want someone other than Joe Biden to be the party's nominee for the 2024 presidential election. The main reasons given for this preference are doubts about Biden's electability and a desire for a new candidate. The poll shows a significant increase in dissatisfaction with Biden compared to earlier this year. It also indicates that the state of the country and concerns about what Democrats might do in the future are critical factors driving this sentiment. This level of opposition within his own party presents a significant challenge for Biden as he continues to navigate his presidency and plan for his political future.
Battleground polls show voters' concerns about the state of the country
According to CBS battleground polls, voters are primarily motivated by concerns about the current state of the country as they consider their choices in the upcoming midterm elections. A majority of respondents are basing their decisions on what Democrats and Republicans might do, suggesting an overall discontentment with the political landscape. Additionally, feelings about individual candidates are also a significant factor. These findings highlight the importance of addressing voters' concerns and offering compelling policy proposals to secure electoral support.
Biden's popularity decline draws parallels with past presidents
The declining popularity of President Joe Biden, evidenced by low approval ratings and a majority of Democrats preferring someone else for the 2024 election, draws parallels with past presidents who faced similar challenges. Both Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush experienced low approval ratings at this stage in their presidencies, only to turn the tide and secure substantial victories in their reelection campaigns. While Biden's political fortunes may change, his ability to address substantive concerns, such as inflation and the state of the economy, will be crucial in reversing his downward trajectory.
The declining popularity of President Joe Biden is proving to be a liability for Democrats in the upcoming midterms. As Biden's approval ratings decrease, he becomes a burden for fellow Democrats running for office, creating challenges in securing victories for the party. While individual issues and policy achievements may matter to some extent, the general sentiment of malaise and chaos within the country largely shapes voter attitudes. Democrats will have to navigate these challenges while finding ways to project confidence and address the concerns of American voters.
Republicans projected to gain House seats in upcoming elections
According to a recent poll by CBS News and UVA, Republicans currently have a lead of about 25 seats in the race for the House, projecting a Republican gain of around 230 seats compared to Democrats' 205 seats.
The challenge of accurately predicting election outcomes
Pollsters have had challenges in accurately predicting election outcomes in recent years. Factors such as the generic ballot, polling misses, and difficulty capturing certain subsets of voters have contributed to polling discrepancies in past elections.
Factors to watch in shaping the election
Key factors to watch in shaping the upcoming election include enthusiasm levels among Democrats, economic indicators, and the performance of candidates in debates. While national dynamics and candidate quality play significant roles, the outcome remains uncertain.
Krystal and Saagar break down the fight over burn pits legislation, Manchin-Schumer budget deal, Trump's LIV Golf event, Dem polling on Biden, Jan 6th hypocrisy, Dems midterm boost, Dr. Oz's political failures, & flawed polling data!
