

The calculations going on inside Hamas
Jul 4, 2025
Gabrielle Weiniger, The Times' Israel correspondent, dives into the intricate calculations taking place within Hamas regarding a potential US ceasefire proposal. She reveals why Hamas might be more open to negotiation now compared to the past, discussing leadership changes and the dire humanitarian situation in Gaza. The podcast also touches on Benjamin Netanyahu's political strategies during these complex negotiations and explores the broader implications of violence on humanitarian efforts and the quest for peace in the Middle East.
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Israel's Ceasefire Conditions Explained
- Israel's ceasefire conditions include staged hostage releases and banning Hamas from hostage ceremonies.
- Israel aims to weaken Hamas's image while pushing to eliminate the group in Gaza.
Shift in Hamas Leadership Dynamics
- Hamas leadership in Gaza has been decimated with key assassinations altering power dynamics.
- External exiled leaders now hold more sway, favoring ceasefire to avoid total occupation of Gaza.
Hamas's Calculated Ceasefire Willingness
- Hamas is willing to compromise to protect Gaza's population amid worsening conditions.
- They seek guarantees that hostage releases will lead to permanent peace talks, not renewed conflict.