Burning Questions for the Most Uncertain Oscar Race in Years
Oct 4, 2024
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In this insightful discussion, Kyle Buchanan, an acclaimed awards season writer for The New York Times, delves into the unpredictable 2024-25 Oscar race. He highlights the absence of clear frontrunners while exploring emerging contenders and intriguing narratives, including a unique film merging transgender themes with crime and music. The conversation also covers the competitive dynamics among actresses and how strategic releases and star power influence nominations. Prepare for a wild awards season filled with surprises!
This year's Oscar race is characterized by a lack of clear frontrunners, creating an excitingly unpredictable landscape with rising smaller films.
The influence of star power may play a pivotal role in shaping voter preferences, especially as established actors dominate lower-profile films.
Deep dives
Current Oscar Race Landscape
The podcast discusses the current state of the Oscar race, highlighting that there are no clear frontrunners this year, contrasting with previous seasons where standout films emerged early on. This year features a mix of smaller, quieter contenders rather than big commercial successes. The hosts explore potential frontrunners, including a three-and-a-half-hour film titled 'The Brutalist', which tells the story of a Holocaust survivor and has already garnered significant interest due to its pedigree and festival circuit success. As the awards season unfolds, the unpredictable nature of this year's contenders adds excitement and intrigue to the conversations around potential nominees.
Festival Impact on Award Contenders
The conversation delves into how film festivals play a crucial role in shaping the awards season narratives, with fall festivals traditionally setting the stage for Oscar contenders. There is recognition that many smaller films that gain traction at festivals often struggle to attract wider audiences, yet they may become darlings within the Academy due to their depth and storytelling. Titles like 'Anora' and 'Amelia Perez' are mentioned as films receiving significant buzz, with the latter's unique blend of genre elements potentially making it a talking point come nomination time. The nuanced landscape of this awards season reveals the tension between commercial success and critical acclaim.
Role of Star Power in Nominations
The podcast highlights the significance of star power in this year's nominations, suggesting that as lower-profile films dominate the landscape, the Academy might gravitate towards established actors in leading roles. Key performances from stars such as Angelina Jolie and Nicole Kidman are underscored, positing that their appearances could sway voters who might otherwise be inclined towards newer talents. Furthermore, special attention is given to how narratives surrounding these actors might shape their potential success during the awards race. The hosts anticipate that the balance between star power and artistic merit will be a central theme throughout this awards season.
The Oscar Campaign's Challenges
The challenges of this year's Oscar campaigns are addressed, particularly regarding marketing strategies and releasing schedules. Disappointments surrounding film performances, such as 'Joker 2', raise concerns over the narrative focus of their campaigns and their potential Oscar viability. There is an emphasis on the importance of timing and festival selection, with the hosts discussing how these factors can significantly impact a film's reception and awards prospects. The dynamic landscape of releases suggests that studios must be strategic in positioning films, reflecting on how past decisions might influence future outcomes in the competitive race for nominations.
Matt is joined by New York Times awards season reporter Kyle Buchanan to preview the 2024-25 Oscar race now that the table is mostly set. Kyle sets the table for a fascinating Oscar season—one without a clear front-runner like ‘Oppenheimer’ was last year—and highlights the biggest narratives that have emerged, including the movies with the strongest momentum, early 2024 films that could make a last-second surge, and other burning questions (02:09). Matt finishes the show with a prediction about the MLB playoffs (28:28).
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