The Herd with Colin Cowherd

Sharp or Square - SHARP NFL WEEK 16 BETS: Bills-Browns, Chargers-Cowboys, Bucs-Panthers, 49ers-Colts, Patriots-Ravens and more

Dec 19, 2025
Dive into the festive NFL betting scene with expert picks for Week 16! Discover which matchups are heating up, from the explosive Bills vs. Browns to the riveting Patriots taking on the Ravens. Chad and Simon also dissect the emotional stakes of the Chargers-Cowboys clash. Find out why the pros are backing the plucky Panthers at home and how injuries are influencing betting lines. Plus, listen in on Simon's insights from fellow gamblers that are sure to sharpen your bets!
Ask episode
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
ADVICE

Wait For Injury And Line-Change Clarity

  • Monitor late-week injury and line movement news before locking picks; it changes contest viability quickly.
  • Lock bets only after confirming key QB or injury updates to avoid getting trapped by last-minute swings.
INSIGHT

Primetime Lines Hide Sharp/Public Splits

  • Professional bettors often crowd primetime games while public money dominates obvious favorites, creating value in unexpected spots.
  • Look for 'fake sharps' and divergence between pros and public to find contrarian edges.
INSIGHT

Coach Context Beats Surface Form

  • Coach tendencies and historical short-week performance strongly affect outcomes; McVay thrives in December and short weeks.
  • Use specific coach-by-context splits to justify taking or fading teams beyond surface form.
Get the Snipd Podcast app to discover more snips from this episode
Get the app