

Trump-Xi Truce Appears Elusive
Apr 11, 2025
In a thought-provoking discussion, Christopher Smart, Managing Partner at Arbroath Group, Joe Lavorgna, Chief Economist at SMBC Nikko Securities, and Ellen Wald, Nonresident Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council, tackle the rising U.S.-China trade tensions. They explore the complexities behind escalating tariffs and the reluctance of both nations to negotiate. Smart and Lavorgna share insights on the political maneuvering at play, while Wald highlights the impact on global energy markets. The conversation sheds light on the unpredictable landscape of international trade.
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Trump's Instinct-Driven Tariff Moves
- President Trump reportedly made tariff decisions based on instinct and personal judgment without legal counsel.
- This approach complicates international negotiations due to unpredictability in final decision-making.
U.S.-China Trade Decoupling Begins
- The U.S.-China trade conflict has reached tariff levels that effectively cripple profitable trade between the nations.
- This tariff escalation signals a long-term economic decoupling that may take years to reverse.
Tariffs Shatter Trade Trust
- The current tariff policies have severely shaken global confidence in U.S. trade reliability.
- Restoring decades of trust and transparent trading relationships will take many years.