Talking Geopolitics George Friedman on the Iran Strike: A New War or the End of One?
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Jun 23, 2025 
George Friedman, chairman and founder of Geopolitical Futures, shares his insights on the recent U.S. strikes against Iran's nuclear sites. He discusses the motivations behind America’s military actions and the implications for regional stability. The conversation dives into shifting alliances among the U.S., Iran, and Israel, and considers the potential impact on Iranian internal politics. Additionally, Friedman highlights emerging anti-war sentiments in U.S. politics, revealing unexpected coalitions and questions around the future of U.S. involvement in the Middle East.
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Necessity of U.S. Strike on Iran
- The U.S. attack was necessary to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons that could be used in terrorist attacks.
- Iran hosting al-Qaeda and potential nuclear weapon delivery by unconventional means posed a catastrophic risk to the U.S.
Israel and U.S. Shared but Different Goals
- Israel's motive is to neutralize Iran to stop terror groups like Hamas and support Arab-Israeli normalization.
- The U.S. shares the goal to limit Iran's nuclear threat and supports alliances like the Abraham Accords.
Confidence in Strike Effectiveness
- Satellite intelligence provides highly detailed damage assessment of Iran's nuclear sites after airstrikes.
- The use of multiple large bombs likely disrupted Iran's nuclear capabilities significantly.