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Don’t fret, Conservatives—your voter base is growing in all the right ways

May 2, 2025
Discover how the Conservative Party in Canada is adapting to a shifting electorate. Insights reveal a growing and diverse voter base, especially among younger and South Asian demographics. The discussion highlights the strategic challenges of appealing to older voters while navigating leadership dynamics. Explore the emerging alliances in Canadian politics and the impact of economic insecurities on voter preferences. This analysis showcases the changing landscape and what it means for the future of Canadian conservatism.
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INSIGHT

Conservative Voter Base Shifts

  • Conservatives gained more votes in younger, male, and less educated ridings and lost ground in older, female, and highly educated ones.
  • They also gained significantly among high-income earners, defying income-based poll expectations.
INSIGHT

Ethnic Realignment Drives Gains

  • The biggest electoral realignment is ethnic, especially among South Asian communities where Conservative gains were substantial.
  • This shift challenges traditional perceptions of ethnic groups being uniformly liberal economically but socially conservative.
ADVICE

Adopt Strategic Fiscal and Social Messaging

  • Conservatives should continue embracing deficits cautiously while addressing social issues parents care about, like gender topics in the suburbs.
  • This approach reflects emerging voter preferences in key suburban and ethnic communities.
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