Bill Rees, bio-ecologist and ecological economist, discusses the breakdown of our planet, systems change, potential outcomes, and creating 'lifeboats' in a crisis. Topics include exponential growth of fossil fuel consumption, crisis due to mismatch between perception and reality, impact of human expansion, energy recycling and thermodynamics, correlation between happiness and well-being, neighboring governments' actions on climate, optimism and skepticism of Rex Weiler, challenging the mainstream, and the need for social change.
Industrialization is the most significant geological event, leading to unsustainable consumption and destruction of ecosystems.
Human capacity for exponential growth and resource consumption has driven non-human life forms to near extinction.
The mainstream narrative downplays the importance of natural resources and fails to address the urgent need for systemic change.
Deep dives
The Arrival of Industrialization
The arrival of industrialization is the most important geological event in the last 250,000 years. Human activity is consuming nonrenewable and renewable resources faster than ecosystems can regenerate, leading to the destruction of fish stocks and arable soils. The reliance on renewable resources is being eroded by human activity. This unsustainable consumption is driven by the belief that humans can substitute for nature and achieve infinite growth.
The Predisposition and Impact of Human Expansion
Human beings have a natural predisposition to grow, occupy all available habitats, and use up accessible resources. This capacity for exponential population growth, territorial expansion, and resource consumption has been facilitated by technological advancements. As a result, humans have disproportionately increased their biomass relative to other species, driving non-human life forms to the brink of extinction and diminishing the biophysical basis of our existence.
The Mismatch Between Perception and Reality
There is a fundamental mismatch between human mainstream perceptions of reality and the biophysical context in which the human enterprise operates. This socially constructed vision of reality promotes the belief that humans are separate from and not bound by the laws governing nature. It fosters the illusion of infinite economic growth and perpetuates the idea that humans can control and substitute for the goods and services provided by nature. However, this perception ignores the fact that the human system is embedded within and dependent on the larger ecosystem, leading to the unsustainable depletion of resources.
Overshoot and the destruction of resources
The speaker highlights the concept of overshoot, where human consumption of nonrenewable and renewable resources surpasses the Earth's capacity to regenerate. This is leading to the depletion of fish stocks, loss of arable soils, and erosion of renewables. Despite the alarming consequences, the mainstream narrative downplays the importance of natural resources, favoring human substitutions. The urgent need for change is emphasized, but the power dynamics of the mainstream hinder progress.
Challenges in achieving a green energy transition
The podcast delves into the challenges of transitioning to green energy and highlights that current efforts are not enough to sustainably address the issues. While some countries invest in alternative energy, the mainstream is still heavily dependent on fossil fuels. The speaker argues that relying solely on green energy would require drastic reductions in consumption and significant social restructuring. Furthermore, the speaker criticizes the narrative around concepts like recycling and the circular economy, emphasizing the limitations of such approaches. Overall, the podcast underscores the need for a more critical and systemic approach to effecting change.
Humankind’s footprint threatens to squash life under its heel.
Our impact on the planet cannot be understated. We have thrust Earth into a new geological period, destroyed the majority of the world’s wildlife, razed her forests, and rendered innumerable species extinct. We are expert consumers with no limits to our appetite, it seems. Unless the climate becomes so unstable our own systems break down. This, of course, is what we’re already seeing.
Bill Rees, bio-ecologist, ecological economist, and originator of the ecological footprint analysis, joins me to discuss this breakdown—how we got here, where we’re going, and why he has little hope for humankind to make it through. We discuss systems change, potential outcomes, and how to create “lifeboats” in a crisis. We also go head-to-head on the framing of some of these issues before finding common ground towards the end of the episode.
“Half of the fossil fuels ever used on planet Earth by human beings has been consumed in just the last 35 years. This is the power of exponential growth. So hugely important things have happened in 50 years, including the first book that warned us of limits to growth. We've seen the evidence before the US Congress on Climate Change. We've had 27 COP meetings on climate change, a half a dozen formal agreements to reduce carbon emissions. There's been several formal scientists’ warning to humanities. This has all taken place in the last 50 years.
“Yet, during that past 50 years, the pace of negative change has accelerated. So, despite the best of our science, despite the best evidence you can possibly come up with in terms of climate activity and so on and so forth, the mainstream has not budged.”
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