Azeem Azhar's Exponential View AI is eating into entry-level jobs
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Sep 5, 2025 This discussion dives deep into how generative AI is reshaping job opportunities, especially for entry-level professionals aged 22 to 25. A striking 13% decline in their job prospects signals a significant shift. The conversation explores how responsibilities are increasingly shifting to senior employees, with companies adapting their hiring practices. Mid-sized firms are highlighted as uniquely positioned to tackle these challenges. The future of education and the need for equitable access to AI skills are emphasized, ensuring young professionals are prepared for an evolving job market.
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Early-Career Hiring Dropped In AI Roles
- Early-career workers (ages 22–25) in AI-exposed roles saw a 13% relative decline in deployment from 2022 onward.
- Mid-career employees in the same occupations experienced increases, signaling a skills/experience gap.
AI Replaces Book Learning, Not Judgment
- AI appears to replace bookish knowledge that new graduates provide while experienced workers bring tacit judgment.
- Firms value senior judgment to evaluate AI-produced output, raising demand for experienced staff.
Findings May Reflect Mid‑Market Firms
- ADP data mainly represents mid-market and regional firms, so effects may reflect a specific tier of the labor market.
- Smaller firms may react faster to AI and be more sensitive to cutting graduate hires.