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Voters Understand But Get Influenced
- Voters largely recognize the difference between state and federal government responsibility.
- Yet linking the unpopular Victorian state government to the federal Labor Party can still affect voter sentiment there.
PM Depends On Party Room Vote
- If Peter Dutton lost his seat but Coalition won, they would choose a new leader to become PM.
- Losing a seat could make it unlikely for the Coalition to form majority government anyway.
Leadership Familiarity Matters
- Political leaders usually need time to become known and trusted by voters.
- This leads to repeated familiar faces leading, though some new contenders are emerging.