FiveThirtyEight Politics

In A Topsy-Turvy World, The Candidates Stick To These Three Issues

Sep 30, 2024
As the 2024 election heats up, the impact of Hurricane Helene and global conflicts on voter sentiment is examined. Key issues like the economy, immigration, and abortion rise to the forefront, as both Trump and Harris make bold speeches aiming to sway public perception. The political landscape is shifting, and voters are increasingly focused on how these candidates tackle pressing concerns. With an upcoming Vice Presidential debate, the dynamics could change dramatically, putting these pivotal issues under the spotlight.
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INSIGHT

World Events and Election Impact

  • Major world events might not significantly impact the presidential race.
  • The focus remains on key issues like the economy, immigration, and abortion.
INSIGHT

Hurricanes and Presidential Perception

  • Hurricanes can shape Americans' views of presidents, like with Katrina and Sandy.
  • Public perception depends on the government's effectiveness in disaster relief.
ADVICE

Polling Challenges Post-Hurricane

  • Be wary of early polls from North Carolina and Georgia after Hurricane Idalia.
  • Pollsters will struggle to reach people amidst the destruction.
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