Patrick Boyle On Finance

15% to the Treasury: Trump’s Nvidia Export Kickback!

Aug 20, 2025
Dive into the heated debate over Trump's deal with Nvidia and AMD, allowing a revenue-sharing model for chip exports to China. Explore the legal and constitutional dilemmas tied to national security and AI technology. Discover the shift from formal legislation to personal negotiations, casting a shadow on governance. The risks of monetizing export controls raise eyebrows, while tensions in U.S.-China relations escalate. Unpack the implications of this controversial move on American capitalism and the delicate balance of power in global tech.
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INSIGHT

Treasury Takes A Slice For Exports

  • Patrick Boyle argues the 15% revenue cut for Nvidia and AMD to export chips to China is a direct slice of corporate revenue to the US Treasury.
  • He says this monetizes export permission and rewrites norms of American trade policy.
INSIGHT

Revenue Is Tiny Compared To Security Risk

  • Boyle warns the deal risks national security by enabling China’s AI capability for a small revenue gain.
  • He notes $2 billion is trivial relative to US spending and a poor trade-off if strategic risks are real.
INSIGHT

Policy By Handshake, Not Process

  • Boyle describes the deal as presidentially brokered and transactional, calling it a new doctrine of ‘shakedown capitalism’.
  • He highlights that Trump negotiated the percentage directly and framed it as bargaining for permission.
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