In this insightful discussion, Steve Rosenberg, the BBC's Russia editor with extensive experience in covering the region, delves into the aftermath of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. He highlights the stark contrast between the Russian government's narrative and public sentiment, revealing mixed emotions among citizens. The potential diplomatic talks with Donald Trump could reshape international dynamics, but questions linger about the real gains for ordinary Russians. Rosenberg also explores the challenges faced by journalists navigating censorship and fear under Putin.
The ongoing war in Ukraine has inflicted significant human and emotional tolls on Russians, yet public dissent remains largely suppressed due to oppressive government measures.
The emerging dialogue between the U.S. and Russia could fundamentally alter international dynamics, presenting opportunities for Russia to solidify its influence on the global stage.
Deep dives
The Human Cost of War
The conflict in Ukraine has resulted in significant human loss for Russia, although official figures remain elusive. Reports from various sources indicate a substantial rise in military casualties, with cemeteries across the country showing numerous fresh graves of soldiers. Civilians also face the mental toll of loss, as communities mourn their fallen while grappling with the ongoing war. While many Russians try to continue their normal lives, those who have been directly affected often struggle with grief and the societal implications of the war.
Public Sentiment and Dissent
Public dialogue surrounding the war in Ukraine has largely been stifled, with repressive laws enacted to punish criticism of the conflict and the government. Many Russians prefer to stay silent, either to avoid repercussions or because they feel powerless to effect change. In discussions with citizens outside Moscow, it becomes clear that while some support the war, a significant portion yearns for its end, often under terms favorable to Russia. Nevertheless, the general atmosphere remains one of resignation, with many choosing to blend into the mainstream rather than express dissent.
Geopolitical Implications and Future Prospects
The ongoing dialogue between the U.S. and Russia regarding the war could reshape international relationships, leading to an emboldened Russia if territory conquered is maintained. As negotiations progress, Putin’s ambitions extend beyond Ukraine, seeking to influence the global order reminiscent of historical agreements like Yalta. This shifting dynamic raises concerns, particularly with NATO's unity being questioned and traditional alliances appearing fractured. The situation demands keen observation, as Russia capitalizes on perceived divisions among its adversaries, potentially rewriting the rules of engagement on the world stage.
What have Russians won and lost during the conflict in Ukraine? Three years after the start of its full-scale invasion, Russia has entered talks with Donald Trump – and not Kyiv – about ending the war. For Vladimir Putin, this could be a chance to end the conflict on his terms, and forge a new international order with Russia and the US at its centre. But what about the people who live under Putin’s rule? What do Russians stand to gain from these talks?
On this episode, presenter Lucy Hockings is joined by the BBC’s Russia editor Steve Rosenberg.
The Global Story brings you trusted insights from BBC journalists worldwide. We want your ideas, stories and experiences to help us understand and tell #TheGlobalStory. Email us at theglobalstory@bbc.com You can also message us or leave a voice note via Whatsapp on +44 330 123 9480.
Producers: Peter Goffin and Mhairi MacKenzie
Sound engineer: Mike Regaard
Assistant editor: Sergi Forcada Freixas
Senior news editor: China Collins
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