Why the US may already be in a recession

With Trump tariff headlines ripping through markets and economic data, recession calls or predictions for a sharp economic slowdown are coming into the light. The most direct one comes out of BCA Research’s veteran strategist Peter Berezin. Berezin said he sees a 75% chance of a recession within the next three months. In his second quarter outlook for clients, Berezin warned about a “buckling” US consumer and weakening labor market. Berezin has gained attention of late for being the lone bear on Wall Street coming into 2025. He has a year-end target on the S&P 500 of 4,450. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) opened the year at 5,903. Berezin has been an economist for more than 30 years, with stints at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Goldman Sachs, and now BCA Research. Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi sits down on the Opening Bid podcast with Berezin about his big calls and why investors need to listen up.

Yahoo Finance's Opening Bid, brings you a high-octane take on the freshest analyst calls, wildest stock moves and shrewdest commentary in the business world. Executive Editor Brian Sozzi puts Wall Street's finest through their paces in this essential conversation for every investor - before the stock market opens.

Find this episode's transcripts and more episodes of Opening Bid at http://finance.yahoo.com/videos/series/opening-bid/.

Thoughts? Questions? Fan mail? Email us at yfpodcasts@yahooinc.com.

Yahoo Finance's Opening Bid is hosted by Brian Sozzi, and produced by Langston Sessoms

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