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Fed takes “wait and see” approach with tariffs

Mar 19, 2025
Federal Reserve officials are holding interest rates steady, with potential cuts anticipated in 2025 depending on trade developments. The conversation dives into how tariffs are inflating export prices and complicating consumer spending. Rising debt costs are straining small borrowers despite economic growth. Political influences on financial institutions are also scrutinized. A local business owner's story adds a personal touch, reflecting the real-world impacts of these economic shifts.
25:30

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates amidst trade tensions reflects ongoing stability, but heightened tariff-related inflation uncertainties complicate future monetary policy decisions.
  • Rising borrowing costs, driven by wider corporate bond spreads, particularly affect smaller companies, revealing a disconnect between economic sentiment and actual business performance amid tariff-induced uncertainty.

Deep dives

Economic Stability and the Fed's Position

The Federal Reserve's recent decision to maintain interest rates reflects ongoing economic stability despite some growth moderation. Chair Powell emphasized that while consumer spending and GDP growth are showing signs of slowing, they remain solid overall, with unemployment at historic lows of 4.1%. However, concerns have arisen regarding inflation, particularly linked to tariffs, which may be more persistent than previously anticipated. This introduces a complexity as the Fed waits for clearer data on inflation and economic activity before making further adjustments to monetary policy.

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