The Intelligence from The Economist Forewarned before armed: how to predict war
Jul 26, 2023
Rosie Blore, International China correspondent, predicts military conflicts by analyzing subtle market signals, particularly regarding Taiwan. Sophie Petter, Paris bureau chief, discusses France's shifting stance on NATO and EU policies and their impact on European security, sparked by the Ukraine crisis. Meanwhile, Paul Markilley, Innovation editor, reveals how scrapyards are evolving into efficient recycling hubs, focusing on electric vehicles and innovative dismantling processes. The conversation blends geopolitical foresight with modernization in automotive recycling.
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Cold War Tactic
- A KGB officer counted lights in Britain's Ministry of Defense nightly during the Cold War.
- He believed many lights indicated the West was preparing a nuclear attack.
Predicting Conflict
- Predicting conflicts is more of an art than a science.
- It may be improved ahead of a potential eastern confrontation.
China-Taiwan Tensions
- China intends to reunify Taiwan with mainland China, according to President Xi Jinping.
- President Biden has stated that the U.S. would defend Taiwan if China invaded.