What Does Record Gold Mean?

On today’s show we are looking at what is happening in precious metals and the narrative attached to these recent record setting prices.

This past week gold has hit new all time record highs of just above $3800. Price peaked at $3820 an ounce, surging nearly $40 an ounce in the opening moments of trading on Monday morning. So far gold is up 10% in the last 30 days and up 41% in the past year. 

Of course the purists out there will probably argue that gold has not risen. It’s the dollar that has fallen in reference to gold and that gold is the only true historic store of value.

We are seeing similar moves in the other benchmark metals. Silver also hit 14 year highs this week above $47 per ounce as of the time of this recording. That is an increase of 20% for the month and 45% in the past year. 

It’s a similar story for platinum and palladium. Platinum is up 18% for the past month and 58% for the past year. Palladium is up 17% in the past month and 27% in the past 12 months.

We know that several things happen in an inflationary environment. Purchasing power for those on fixed income gets wiped out. Savings get wiped out and debt gets wiped out. We can also see asset prices rise unless we are talking about a Venezuelan style inflation where asset prices collapse due to a complete breakdown of the economy.

So in an inflationary environment you don’t want to be the one holding the debt. In fact the people at Morgan Stanley just updated their recommendation for a balanced portfolio. The traditional Wall Street version of the balanced portfolio has been 60% stocks and 40% bonds. They never mention real estate of course because they can’t sell real estate and they don’t make any money if you buy real estate.

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