Texas Standard

Climatologist explains what ‘1,000-year flood’ actually means

Jul 15, 2025
Arnie Segovia, known as Arnie Tex, is a champion pit master and YouTube star who shares insights on culinary traditions and resilience amid natural disasters. The discussion dives into what a '1,000-year flood' truly represents, emphasizing the increased frequency of extreme weather events and the impact of climate change. The podcast also highlights the collaborative efforts of first responders from Mexico during floods and the emotional narratives of community recovery. Plus, Arnie shares delightful tidbits from his new cookbook, blending Mexican-American recipes with BBQ culture.
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INSIGHT

Understanding 100-Year Floods

  • A 100-year flood means a flood has a 1% chance of occurring in any given year at a location.
  • Increasing extreme rainfall makes these odds likely underestimated now, possibly twice as high in many areas.
ADVICE

Check Local Floodplain Maps

  • Texans should check their local floodplain maps on FEMA's website to understand flood risks.
  • Know safe evacuation routes that avoid floodplains to prepare for flooding emergencies.
INSIGHT

Climate Change Enhances Flooding

  • Climate change is not the sole cause of catastrophic Texas flooding but acts as an enhancement factor.
  • It intensifies rainfall by about 10-15%, combined with factors like tropical storm remnants and hurricanes.
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