Even Money: NFL Betting Podcast 2025 NFL Week 1 Bets
11 snips
Sep 2, 2025 Expert hosts dissect NFL Week 1 matchups, revealing betting insights on marquee games like Cowboys vs. Eagles and Ravens vs. Bills. They explore betting strategies and shifts in odds, including the impact of player performances and recent injuries. Discover the evolution of betting practices as they discuss the decline of six-point teasers and the rise of new strategies. Listeners are treated to predictions for thrilling matchups, making it a must-listen for avid bettors eager to gain an edge!
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Parsons Changed Season Win Markets
- Micah Parsons' return materially shifted market expectations and season win totals for Dallas and Green Bay.
- Steve Fezzik estimates Parsons is worth about 1.5 points, moving Green Bay to ~10–10.5 wins and dropping Dallas toward seven wins.
Shop Future Lines After Big News
- Look for value on later-week lines after major news since early-week markets often misprice future matchups.
- Fezzik recommends Green Bay week four at Dallas (GB -2.5 or -4) as an exploitable wager after Parsons news.
Teaser Pricing Shift Ends Edge
- Books removed favorable six-point teaser pricing because bettors were beating them consistently.
- Fezzik notes DraftKings moved teaser vig to -135, ending the profitable two-team six-point teaser era.