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Onward, a Fundrise Production

33: On the state of housing, with economist Ali Wolf

Feb 6, 2024
Ali Wolf, Chief Economist at Zonda, joins Fundrise CEO Ben Miller to discuss the economy's impact on the housing market. They reflect on 2023's positive economic indicators and excess consumer savings. They analyze the current state of the housing industry and the outlook for different markets. They uncover non-obvious aspects of the housing market, such as mortgage rates and structural demand. They explore the rise of built-to-rent housing and its appeal. They discuss the long-term impact of demographic changes on the housing market and express cautious optimism for the future.
44:19

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The unexpected resilience of the economy in 2023 showed the importance of considering current data and adapting forecasts, rather than relying solely on historical indicators.
  • Builders in the housing market expect flat to slightly increasing prices in 2024, while experts forecast 3-5% growth in existing home prices.

Deep dives

2023: Surprising Economic Performance

The prevailing sentiment going into 2023 was a recession, but the year played out differently than expected. The economy saw a 25% increase in the S&P 500, unemployment increased by 9%, and positive wage growth returned. The economy slowed but did not crash, thanks in part to consumers using excess savings and debt to continue spending.

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