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China Unscripted
#265 Taiwan Must Prepare for a “Worst Case Scenario” | Michael Hunzeker
Aug 13, 2024
Michael Hunzeker, an associate professor at George Mason University and Non-Resident Senior Fellow at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, delves into Taiwan's unpreparedness for a potential conflict with China. He emphasizes the urgency for a comprehensive defense strategy that includes community engagement. With growing complacency among the youth and challenges in military readiness, Hunzeker advocates for proactive measures, drawing lessons from other nations, and the crucial role of U.S. support in safeguarding Taiwan's democracy.
01:06:03
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Quick takeaways
- Taiwan's current defense strategies underestimate the risk of surprise attacks, necessitating an urgent reassessment of military preparedness.
- Despite expert warnings, a sense of complacency prevails among the Taiwanese public and leadership concerning the threat of invasion from China.
Deep dives
Taiwan's Readiness for Conflict
Taiwan is not sufficiently prepared for a potential Chinese invasion, with current defense strategies underestimating the likelihood of surprise attacks. Experts suggest that reliance on advanced warning signs, such as troop movements, may lead to complacency in Taiwan and Washington. Historical parallels, such as the sudden invasion of Ukraine by Russia despite an array of warning signs, indicate that Taiwan must reconsider its assumptions about how an invasion might occur. To counter this, Taiwan should focus on enhancing its immediate military preparedness rather than counting on external support that may not materialize in time.
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Discover
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