Summary of Military Situation

The military situation in Ukraine is difficult to assess, with shifting odds and a lack of clear stalemate. Russia believes it is winning due to holding off the Ukrainian offensive and weak Western support. However, Russia has been overconfident in the past, and Ukraine has achieved some significant victories, including reclaiming half of the territory Russia initially captured. Ukraine's army is tired and in need of reform and increased rearmament. The outcome of the war remains uncertain, but Ukraine still has hope if it receives necessary aid from the West.