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Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Tom McClellan: These Decades-Long Correlations All Predict A Major Market Sell-Off Later This Year

May 26, 2024
Expert Tom McClellan discusses key market indicators pointing to a potential major sell-off later this year. Topics include correlations with crude oil prices, historical patterns predicting a challenging market period, impact of reverse repurchase agreements on liquidity, gold prices and bond yields relationship, and the importance of emotional discipline in trading.
01:13:12

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Stock market may face challenges in 2024 due to crude oil price correlations.
  • Monitoring key indicators can provide insights into potential market trends.

Deep dives

Stock Market Movements and Crude Oil Prices Correlation

Movements in the stock market tend to echo those of crude oil prices about 10 years later. When crude oil prices declined in 2014 after OPEC stopped defending them due to fracking, a similar decline in the stock market might be expected around 2024, echoing the June 2014 drop in oil prices. While not always exact in magnitude, this correlation could indicate a challenging time for the stock market from summer 2024 to early 2026.

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