Swamp Notes John Bolton on the Iran war that wasn’t
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Jun 28, 2025 
In a riveting discussion, John Bolton, former National Security Advisor and U.N. ambassador, analyzes the recent U.S.-Iran tensions triggered by Israel's military actions. He highlights how Iran's regime might be more vulnerable than ever, possibly facing public uprisings. Bolton also delves into the implications of the international ceasefire and the historical context, contrasting it with past Middle Eastern conflicts. Lastly, he tackles the fallout from the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal and speculates on the challenges of upcoming nuclear negotiations.
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Context of U.S. Strikes on Iran
- The U.S. strikes on Iran were prompted by Israel's earlier attacks and were a necessary though insufficient response.
- The situation is a culmination of long-term tensions and the outcome is still uncertain.
Unclear U.S. Strategy vs Israeli Clarity
- The White House lacks a clear vision for the conflict's endgame, but Israel appears to have a clearer strategic plan.
- Understanding Israel's goals is critical since the U.S. partially defers to Israel's ambitions.
Iran Regime's Vulnerability Exposed
- The Iranian regime is vulnerable and unpopular due to supporting proxies over public welfare.
- The situation is an opportunity to challenge the regime amid its internal instability.