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Minds Almost Meeting

Fertility again (Robin Hanson & Agnes Callard, with Lyman Stone)

Feb 27, 2025
Lyman Stone, an expert in empirical fertility research, dives deep into the nuances of declining fertility rates and their societal impacts. He discusses Japan's historic shifts in fertility policies and how state-driven initiatives spurred growth during modernization. The conversation also highlights the unique fertility trends among the Leichtadians and contrasts them with more separatist groups like the Amish. Stone explores the vital intersections of cultural values, economic implications, and the role of climate change in shaping fertility norms, all while emphasizing the need for innovative solutions.
01:12:03

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Cultural shifts significantly impact fertility rates, as seen in Japan's transition to pro-natalist policies during the Meiji period.
  • Post-World War II fertility booms were influenced by improvements in housing and living standards, highlighting the role of economic stability.

Deep dives

Cultural Shifts and Fertility Trends

Fertility rates can be significantly influenced by cultural shifts, as evidenced by Japan's transformation during the Meiji period. This period marked a pivotal change from an antinatal culture under the Tokugawa shogunate to a pro-natalist state campaign aimed at increasing birth rates. Strategies included the establishment of a police force to monitor pregnancies and policies promoting marriages, reflecting a societal recognition of the need for more workers. The results were substantial, with fertility rates in Japan rising dramatically from around three or four children per woman to six, demonstrating the profound impact of cultural impetus on fertility.

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