What will be Trump’s plan for Gaza and the Middle East?
Nov 8, 2024
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Daniel Levy, President of the U.S./Middle East Project and former peace negotiator, dives deep into the shifting landscape of the Middle East as Trump reclaims power. He discusses the ramifications of Trump's promised support for Israel amidst ongoing violence in Gaza and Lebanon. Levy addresses the complexities of achieving peace, internal Israeli politics, and potential war crimes. He critiques the likelihood of a united Palestinian front and raises concerns over the moral implications of settlement expansions, painting a sobering picture of future negotiations.
Trump's return to the Oval Office could exacerbate U.S. support for Israeli policies that marginalize Palestinian political rights and exacerbate tensions.
The Israeli government's shift towards hard nationalism under Netanyahu indicates a move away from meaningful negotiations and increasing risks for Palestinians.
Deep dives
Escalating Tensions in the Region
The recent escalation in Gaza, Lebanon, and Israel raises significant concerns about human rights abuses, with reports indicating that Israel is moving towards a complete evacuation of northern Gaza. Human rights organizations have labeled Israeli actions as ethnic cleansing, particularly in areas such as Baalbek, a historical stronghold of Hezbollah, which has become a target of Israeli attacks. The Israeli parliament’s recent bill classifying the U.N. Agency for Palestinian Refugees as a terrorist organization demonstrates a stark shift in policy, further severing ties with Palestinian support systems. As the conflict intensifies, the situation remains fraught, with calls for a ceasefire yet yielding little progress or hope for resolution.
Shifts in Israeli Leadership and Policy
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s recent dismissal of Defense Minister Yoav Galant illustrates the internal power dynamics and ideological shifts within the Israeli government. Netanyahu’s motives appear to align with a hard nationalist agenda, prioritizing the promotion of loyalists who advocate for territorial expansion over negotiating peace. This change is suggested to manifest in continued military operations and settlement plans in Gaza, raising alarms about the potential for a second major displacement of Palestinians. Observers indicate that the Israeli leadership is poised to reinforce a status quo that neglects a serious commitment to meaningful negotiations with Palestinian representatives.
Impact of U.S. Politics on Middle Eastern Dynamics
The landscape of U.S. politics, especially in light of a potential second term for Donald Trump, poses further complexities for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Trump's administration previously demonstrated a tendency to ignore Palestinian rights, solidifying support for Israeli settlements while marginalizing Palestinian political voice. This electoral backdrop may embolden more extreme positions within Israel, risking intensified hostility towards Palestinians. As regional actors like Saudi Arabia seek a more assertive role, there is an urgent need for Palestinian unity and leadership to effectively influence the broader geopolitical narrative and advocate for their rights.
Trump has promised peace while vowing continued support for Israel for its ongoing war in Gaza and Lebanon. Now that he’s taking back the Oval Office, what can the Middle East expect?
In this episode:
Daniel Levy, President of the US/Middle East Project
Episode credits:
This episode was produced by Sarí el-Khalili, Sonia Bhagat, Khaled Soltan, and Amy Walters with Phillip Lanos, Spencer Cline, Cole Van Miltenburg, Duha Mosaad, Hagir Saleh, and our host, Malika Bilal.
Our sound designer is Alex Roldan. Our video editor is Hisham Abu Salah. Alexandra Locke is The Take’s executive producer. Ney Alvarez is Al Jazeera’s head of audio.