Know Your Risk Podcast Is the Global Economy at a Turning Point?
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Jan 14, 2026 In a lively discussion, the hosts tackle the surprising cultural impact of Madea films while diving deep into the cyclical nature of the chemical market. They analyze China's manufacturing policies and their effects on global production. The conversation shifts to the tech sector's challenges, with a look at the market indices and mega-cap drawdowns. Investment strategies are debated, highlighting the appeal of cyclicals and international opportunities over high-multiple tech stocks, all amidst interesting economic indicators.
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Chemicals Offer Cyclical Turnaround Potential
- Chemical companies are highly cyclical but unlikely to disappear given persistent global demand.
- Buying beaten-down chemical stocks after large drawdowns often produces strong 12-month returns.
Buy Commodities After Deep Drawdowns
- Buy commodity-related stocks after large multi-year drawdowns when P/Es look high due to earnings troughs.
- These setups often deliver attractive returns over the following 12 months.
AI Boosts Chemical R&D Productivity
- AI can accelerate chemical and pharmaceutical R&D by massively expanding simulated experiments.
- That structural productivity gain could permanently boost chemical-sector returns.