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Risk & Reward - November 6, 2025 - Trade Ideas of the Week

Nov 6, 2025
Hosts dive into market volatility and share intriguing trade ideas. A bearish stance on Affirm highlights valuation issues and BNPL risks. Rivian's strategic moves with NVIDIA and potential AI advancements are discussed, alongside insights on its financial struggles. The fast-food sector faces pressures, with DoorDash emerging as a promising long-term play. They also explore trading tools like VWAP and volume profiles for better risk management, and share thoughts on Robinhood's restrictions for professional traders.
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ADVICE

Trade Against Absurd Valuations

  • If a stock's valuation looks absurd, consider taking a bearish options position rather than holding long exposure.
  • Errol sold naked and long-dated puts on Affirm after seeing ~527x PE and expecting BNPL stress.
ADVICE

Sell Premium On Rangebound Names

  • Use neutral strategies like sold strangles when a stock repeatedly swings inside a range.
  • Gus recommends harvesting premium on Rivian while acknowledging its frequent range-bound swings.
INSIGHT

Neutrality Beats Constant Directional Bias

  • Errol admits a personal bias toward directional trades and highlights neutrality as an underused approach.
  • Recognizing neutrality can prevent repeated frustrated directional positions in stocks like Rivian.
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