PFT Live with Mike Florio Patriots & Broncos underdogs at home + Patrick Mahomes discusses Chiefs’ slim playoff chances (12/12 Hour 2)
Dec 12, 2025
The discussion kicks off with the Patriots facing off as home underdogs against the Bills, igniting a look at how motivation plays into odds. The Broncos are also underdogs at home, with speculation on Sean Payton's strategies. Patrick Mahomes shares his thoughts on the Chiefs' playoff hopes, while Aaron Rodgers responds to Philip Rivers' football comeback. The hosts dive into NFC playoff contenders, debate offenses and defenses, and tackle locker-room antics that raise eyebrows.
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Vegas Lines Aim For Balanced Betting
- Mike Florio highlights oddsmakers listing the Patriots as 1.5-point home underdogs despite an 11-2 record.
- He argues the line is aimed at creating 50-50 betting action, not reflecting true team strength.
Turn Underdog Status Into Motivation
- Use the underdog label as bulletin-board material to motivate players and push buttons.
- Mike Florio suggests teams will leverage perceived disrespect to create extra edge during a stretch run.
Bookie Dad Explains Line-Setting
- Mike Florio shares a childhood memory about his dad being a bookie and explaining how lines are set to balance action.
- He uses that story to illustrate why oddsmakers target coin-flip outcomes to secure the vig.