How Poilievre Went From Top Dog to Underdog

Mar 25, 2025

Jordan Leichnitz, a veteran of progressive political campaigns, joins to unpack the evolving battle in Canadian politics. With Pierre Poilievre's once-strong lead dwindling, they explore the surprising resurgence of the Liberals and the stakes of the imminent election. The conversation dives into Poilievre's challenges, including the influence of Trump and shifting voter sentiment. They also discuss the complexities of political messaging and the implications of recent radical endorsements for the Conservative strategy.

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INSIGHT

Shifting Political Landscape

Pierre Poilievre's substantial lead in the polls has diminished, changing the election landscape.
The Liberals, against the odds, have regained a leading position.

INSIGHT

Favorable Momentum for Liberals

The Liberals typically experience increased popularity after electing a new leader.
The current political climate, including trade wars and Trump's actions, favors the Liberals.

ADVICE

Challenge Carney's Tax Plan

The Conservatives should question Mark Carney's plan to axe the consumer carbon tax.
They should demand clarification on its impact on the industrial carbon tax and the trade war.

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And we’re off to the races! It’s time for the matchup, and election, of a generation. Newly minted Prime Minister Mark Carney is taking on former front-runner Pierre Poilievre on April 28th. It’s a 5-week campaign. In the backdrop of a trade war, Trump’s annexation threats, And almost 10 long years of Liberal leadership.

For over a year, Poilievre pretty much held a 20-point lead. A landslide Poilievre win wasn't just possible, it felt inevitable. But now? The game has changed. Somehow, against all odds, the Liberals have clawed their way back to the top. Host Noor Azrieh sits down with conservative strategist Amanda Galbraith and progressive strategist Jordan Leichnitz to dissect what went so wrong for Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives.

And the latest on, Mark Carney’s long-awaited seat announcement coupled with the ousting of Liberal MP Chandra Arya, and Premier Danielle Smith’s untimely appearance on Breitbart.

Host: Noor Azrieh

Credits: Aviva Lessard (Senior Producer), Sam Konnert (Producer), Noor Azrieh (Host/Producer), Caleb Thompson (Audio Editor), Max Collins (Director of Audio) Jesse Brown (Editor), Tony Wang (Artwork)

Guests: Amanda Galbraith, Jordan Leichnitz