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The Daily Brief

Sharp slowdown in bank lending

Dec 6, 2024
The podcast dives into the troubling disparity between loan and deposit growth in India's banking sector. It discusses the RBI's initiatives to tackle this issue and explores the rise of quick commerce, particularly 10-minute delivery services. Competition between major players like Swiggy and Zepto highlights the challenge of balancing speed with sustainability. Additionally, it examines how traditional Kirana stores are feeling the pressure from these platforms, alongside insights on India's services PMI and oil market challenges.
14:48

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Quick takeaways

  • The podcast discusses the alarming slowdown in bank lending in India, highlighting the shift where deposit growth is finally outpacing loan growth, indicating a stabilization of the financial system.
  • Another theme explored is the rapid evolution of quick commerce in India, transforming consumer buying behavior with ultra-fast delivery services and raising sustainability questions amidst intense competition.

Deep dives

RBI's Response to Loan and Deposit Disparity

The episode highlights the growing gap between loan and deposit growth rates in India's banking sector, emphasizing that as of 2022, banks were lending out 130 rupees for every 100 rupees collected as deposits. This alarming trend arose post-COVID when interest rates were lowered to stimulate borrowing, leading to unexpected increases in loan uptake even as interest rates rose. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) responded by employing measures such as moral suasion to encourage banks to attract more deposits, increasing risk weightings on certain loans to make them pricier, and imposing stricter liquidity coverage ratio norms. These strategies have since started to yield results, with credit growth cooling and deposit growth beginning to outpace loans, indicating a stabilization in the financial system.

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