The Duran Podcast Window of Opportunity for Peace is Closing - John Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen
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Oct 22, 2025 
In this insightful discussion, John Mearsheimer, a leading realist political scientist, and Alexander Mercouris, a seasoned commentator on Russian affairs, explore the narrowing window for peace in the Ukraine conflict. They dive into the implications of military realities versus diplomatic rhetoric, emphasizing the potential for a Ukrainian collapse to escalate tensions further. The guests also examine Europe's fragmented response to Russian advances and the high stakes of diplomatic engagement. Their analysis reveals the complex interplay between military outcomes and international negotiations.
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Trump Is The Wildcard In Diplomacy
- Donald Trump is the main variable changing Western policy rhetoric and tactical choices toward Ukraine.
- John Mearsheimer argues Trump's shifting positions drive short-term Western moves but not the war's battlefield outcome.
Battlefield, Not Summits, Will Decide
- The war will be decided on the battlefield, not by rhetoric or summits.
- Mearsheimer stresses that Russian advances make Ukrainian collapse increasingly likely absent negotiation.
European Unity May Collapse Under Pressure
- Europe lacks a unified strategic plan if Ukraine visibly collapses, risking fragmentation.
- Alexander Mercouris warns that political fractures will prevent collective European diplomacy or coherent response.