The Jacob Shapiro Podcast

The Economy Has COVID

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Apr 25, 2025
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ANECDOTE

Dutch Bike Culture Helmet Anecdote

  • Rob took his kids on vacation to Amsterdam and noticed the unique bike culture with very few people wearing helmets.
  • Despite frequent accidents, locals believe helmets are unnecessary, which puzzled Rob.
INSIGHT

Freight Data Signals Economic Shock

  • Freight and port data indicate a severe economic slowdown comparable to a COVID-style disruption.
  • This data signals a major demand shock with uncertain but potentially lasting damage to the economy.
INSIGHT

Stock Market Narrowing and Risks

  • The stock market is narrowing with mega-cap tech stocks driving most gains amid broad market weakness.
  • Small caps and speculative stocks have hit all-time lows against the S&P, signaling a likely bear market.
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