64: Superforecasting the 2026 F1 season

It’s the first week of January, the slate has been wiped clean, a whole new year of F1 lies ahead. Before a car is launched and a wheel has turned everything is possible and at all the teams and drivers are equal.

At this stage we like to look ahead to the new season and do some superforecasting. 

We did it last year and some of the forecasts were pretty accurate, while others haven’t aged so well... 

Who will win the 2026 F1 Drivers’ and Constructors’ Championships? What percentage of Max Verstappen’s points total will new team-mate Isack Hadjar achieve? Checo Perez got 49% in 2023 while Yuki Tsunoda managed just 8% last year. 

What will be the most high-profile driver move this year and which drivers will we be saying goodbye to? 

Which F1 team bosses will not be in post in 12 months from now?

To help us today we have a couple of subject matter experts, former Aston Martin Technical Director, Red Bull Head of Aerodynamics and friend of the pod, Dan Fallows and our F1 writer attending races around the world, Ronald Vording. 

Send your comments or questions to: @jamesallenonf1 on X or jamesallenonf1@autosport.com.

A Motorsport Studios production for Autosport