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The Carly P Reilly Show

Raoul Pal’s Q4 + 2024 Predictions l #205

Oct 20, 2023
In this podcast, macroeconomist Raoul Pal discusses his predictions for Q4 and 2024, the millennial generation's fascination with Gamestop and NFTs, the future of crypto payments, the scale of AI, and the worst upcoming 12 months in US history. They also touch on topics like the likelihood of a credit crisis, Raoul's presidential pick, and the possibility of Bitcoin existing outside the chain.
59:33

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Cryptocurrency acts as a multiplier in macro cycles, and Raoul Pal predicts that as liquidity rises, crypto will outperform the market.
  • Advancements in AI and robotics will lead to a shift in society, with AI driving liquidity and risk-taking in the crypto market.

Deep dives

Raoul Pal's Predictions for the Recession and Market Performance

Raoul Pal, a macro investor and founder of Real Vision, discusses his predictions for the recession and market performance. He accurately stated that the big scary recession that everyone predicted was not looming. He believes that we will have a mild recession, but the markets are already looking forward and pricing in growth. Pal predicts that the NASDAQ and S&P will finish the year at all-time highs. He also highlights the close relationship between the crypto market and macro cycles, stating that crypto, especially Bitcoin, acts as a multiplier. Pal expects that as liquidity rises, crypto will outperform, and he anticipates a decoupling of NFTs from equities as the NFT economy bottoms out and starts to recover.

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